Ops-Normal.org

The Ukrainians will wish to take out as many of the short range Russian SAM systems as possible, especially in the Kherson, Western Zaporizhzhia, and northern Crimea areas. The bridgehead on the left bank of the Dnipro is therefore quite important for using drones against such systems. Here's one be...

More than 300 units of Russian equipment were destroyed by the units of the 79th Air Assault Brigade near Novomykhailiivka, Donetsk Oblast. Stunning results. https://mstdn.social/@noelreports/112298576786549478 The Russians can't go on like this. On the other hand, they don't need to - back to artil...

Ukrainian intelligence have released some footage of the control console from which they claim they hit the Backfire with a refurbished (and possibly modified) SA-5 Gammon at a range of 300km. They claim the bomber crashed on return to base, presumably from damage sustained in the hit. https://mstdn...

I have no idea what the point of last night's attack-that-wasn't-an-attack was. Perhaps it was done to satisfy calls in Israel for immediate action. Presumably Israel did actually hit something, either a ballistic missile launch/storage site, or a nuke facility. However, no one has an interest is le...

First satellite photos out of Dzhankoy, post-strike.

https://mstdn.social/@noelreports/112298098448996641

As predicted, 4 SAM battery vehicles burnt out, assorted other traces of impacts, and all helos either flown away or removed, damage unknown.
Hopefully something better tomorrow.

I'll give this one to Hydromet
"Just waiting for the dog to make sure I don't touch anything."

If the Ukes are going to take out the Bridge, they will need a clear path across Crimea. Partway for their bombers, and all the way for the missiles. This means taking out (in roughly this order): 1 AWACSki - tick, VG 2 area defence SAMs - like the S400 at Dzhankoy first, as they are hard to replace...

Facts, logic, .....
I reckon Captain Obvious is right up there with Adolf and Genghis as the most hated man in Leftdom.

Net zero is not feasible, or fair, or just, anywhere, ever.

Of course my arguments in support of that view, whilst entirely logical and scientifically valid, are now officially a Hate Crime, and Disinformation, in Scotland, so I will be keeping them to myself.

Pentagon says it's ready to quickly move munitions to Israel, Ukraine if supplemental bill passes

https://www.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-797831

This would give Netanyahu a reason to delay a strike against Iran until after Passover, i.e. until the weapons have been delivered.

All the comments about her being as thick as two short ones now act in her favour.

The percentage of the US population that "completely or mostly trusts the US Government" has dropped to a new low of 20%

The percentage of the US population that works directly or indirectly for the US Government has risen to a new high of 20%

None of the measures being seriously proposed by those who want Israel not to strike again are looking like they are worth anything. Some talk that Israel will wait till after Passover (next Mon 22-Mon29 in Israel) to attack Iran. The US House vote on aid for Israel is due this Saturday. Whether any...

Iran wants 'Death to Israel', and there's no compromise of 'a bit dead'.

I haven't the slightest interest in what people say, only what they do.

Based on recent airliner flightpaths, both the Iranian nuke enrichment facilities have 50km radius exclusion zones around them.

Tel Aviv airport showing all departure and arrival statuses as Unknown.
There is nothing civilian airborne over Israel.

The Jerusalem Post also says it's "Too quiet".

The last two Israeli air strikes on nuke facilities were named Opera and Orchard. Maybe this one will be Oscar..they'll probably get an award for it.

Or may they should call it Spanish Inquisition..no one would be expecting that!

Well, it's quiet......


..maybe too quiet

A reminder of the Begin Doctrine

"On no account shall we permit an enemy to develop weapons of mass destruction against the people of Israel. We shall defend the citizens of Israel in good time and with all the means at our disposal."

We have the problem that accurate BDA is probably available to the Ukrainians via their partisans, but they probably then can't confirm it to us because of OpSec. It may be possible to get some civilian satellite photos tomorrow, available to us Friday, but the Russians are in the habit of shifting ...

Dzhankoy Update 4 I am reasonably confident, after further analysis, that the explosion and contrails seen in the video are a match for the position of the S400 battery shown near the eastern airfield revetments in the photo in the Kyiv Post analysis, and that the plumes seen represent a standard 4 ...