Ops-Normal.org

Facts, logic, .....
I reckon Captain Obvious is right up there with Adolf and Genghis as the most hated man in Leftdom.

Net zero is not feasible, or fair, or just, anywhere, ever.

Of course my arguments in support of that view, whilst entirely logical and scientifically valid, are now officially a Hate Crime, and Disinformation, in Scotland, so I will be keeping them to myself.

Pentagon says it's ready to quickly move munitions to Israel, Ukraine if supplemental bill passes

https://www.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-797831

This would give Netanyahu a reason to delay a strike against Iran until after Passover, i.e. until the weapons have been delivered.

All the comments about her being as thick as two short ones now act in her favour.

The percentage of the US population that "completely or mostly trusts the US Government" has dropped to a new low of 20%

The percentage of the US population that works directly or indirectly for the US Government has risen to a new high of 20%

None of the measures being seriously proposed by those who want Israel not to strike again are looking like they are worth anything. Some talk that Israel will wait till after Passover (next Mon 22-Mon29 in Israel) to attack Iran. The US House vote on aid for Israel is due this Saturday. Whether any...

Iran wants 'Death to Israel', and there's no compromise of 'a bit dead'.

I haven't the slightest interest in what people say, only what they do.

Based on recent airliner flightpaths, both the Iranian nuke enrichment facilities have 50km radius exclusion zones around them.

Tel Aviv airport showing all departure and arrival statuses as Unknown.
There is nothing civilian airborne over Israel.

The Jerusalem Post also says it's "Too quiet".

The last two Israeli air strikes on nuke facilities were named Opera and Orchard. Maybe this one will be Oscar..they'll probably get an award for it.

Or may they should call it Spanish Inquisition..no one would be expecting that!

Well, it's quiet......


..maybe too quiet

A reminder of the Begin Doctrine

"On no account shall we permit an enemy to develop weapons of mass destruction against the people of Israel. We shall defend the citizens of Israel in good time and with all the means at our disposal."

We have the problem that accurate BDA is probably available to the Ukrainians via their partisans, but they probably then can't confirm it to us because of OpSec. It may be possible to get some civilian satellite photos tomorrow, available to us Friday, but the Russians are in the habit of shifting ...

Dzhankoy Update 4 I am reasonably confident, after further analysis, that the explosion and contrails seen in the video are a match for the position of the S400 battery shown near the eastern airfield revetments in the photo in the Kyiv Post analysis, and that the plumes seen represent a standard 4 ...

Speaker Mike Johnson announced today that he is sticking with his plan to put a series of foreign aid bills on the floor, including funding for Ukraine, after facing significant pressure from hardliners. Voting will happen on Saturday evening.

UK and German Foreign Ministers in Israel today but.. We make our own decisions, Netanyahu tells Cameron Foreign Secretary says after talks in Jerusalem that Israel has clearly ‘made a decision’ to respond to Iran’s assault https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/04/17/israel-has-made-decision-t...

Dzhankoy Update 3 Ukrainian official media now reporting the Dzhankoy strike, including partisan involvement https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/04/17/7451658/ It could therefore have been the humint I suggested that provided the immediate BDA post the initial strike. They could do that from the...

Dzhankoy Update 2 NASA IR satellite showing multiple fire zones on the airfield https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/map/#d:24hrs;@34.42,45.70,14.00z Excellent analysis in the Kyiv Post https://www.kyivpost.com/analysis/31255 Back to the 4 squadrons of helos I estimated earlier. Looks like the initi...

Dzhankoy Update First photo of the damage https://mstdn.social/@noelreports/112286401326565297 Appears to be an S-300/400 SAM battery Difficult for me to be sure, but this looks more like S-400 to me, three launchers and a radar vehicle (note white mast at the back centre). With some enhancement sof...

Russian milblogger Rybar claims that Ukraine hit the Dzhankoy airbase with 12 (!) ATACMS missiles, 'likely launched from Kherson' in two waves, one of seven and one of five. He reports damage to equipment at the airbase as well as damage to buildings. https://mstdn.social/@noelreports/11228549670152...

About the only airline flying across Iran now, other than Iranian ones, is Turkish Airlines. Given Erdogan's recent statements about Israel, it wouldn't surprise me if he is rather hoping one of them gets downed by Israel. There's a Lufthansa Mun-Sin flight overflying Israel now - no idea why that i...