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Dzhankoy Update 3 Ukrainian official media now reporting the Dzhankoy strike, including partisan involvement https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/04/17/7451658/ It could therefore have been the humint I suggested that provided the immediate BDA post the initial strike. They could do that from the...

Dzhankoy Update 2 NASA IR satellite showing multiple fire zones on the airfield https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/map/#d:24hrs;@34.42,45.70,14.00z Excellent analysis in the Kyiv Post https://www.kyivpost.com/analysis/31255 Back to the 4 squadrons of helos I estimated earlier. Looks like the initi...

Dzhankoy Update First photo of the damage https://mstdn.social/@noelreports/112286401326565297 Appears to be an S-300/400 SAM battery Difficult for me to be sure, but this looks more like S-400 to me, three launchers and a radar vehicle (note white mast at the back centre). With some enhancement sof...

Russian milblogger Rybar claims that Ukraine hit the Dzhankoy airbase with 12 (!) ATACMS missiles, 'likely launched from Kherson' in two waves, one of seven and one of five. He reports damage to equipment at the airbase as well as damage to buildings. https://mstdn.social/@noelreports/11228549670152...

About the only airline flying across Iran now, other than Iranian ones, is Turkish Airlines. Given Erdogan's recent statements about Israel, it wouldn't surprise me if he is rather hoping one of them gets downed by Israel. There's a Lufthansa Mun-Sin flight overflying Israel now - no idea why that i...

Arab airlines back over Iran. Iranian airliners still avoiding overflying the nuke enrichment sites. Israeli War Cabinet further meeting announced, then delayed till tomorrow. No reason given. Multiple sources have told the Jerusalem post that the IDF has decided on the targets, in Iran and on its p...

Very little air traffic over Iran as of the last hour - even the Arab airlines ar now staying over Iraq. Looks like they think an attack by Israel on Iran is a possible tonight. Three Iranian airliners inbound to Tehran, on a course which would have taken them over the nuclear research site at Natan...

Latest from Israel, Kan news agency report on the war cabinet meeting. Link to google translate from the Hebrew below https://www-kan-org-il.translate.goog/content/kan-news/defense/738959/?_x_tr_sl=iw&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en-US&_x_tr_pto=wapp Main points - My emphasis In Israel, they decided how the...

The IRGC are clearly focused on home propaganda. The truth does not matter. Iran fired missiles at Israel - that's all that matters. It therefore follows that Israel hitting Iran is the only Israeli response that matters to the IRGC. The solution to avoiding escalation following an Israeli strike is...

There appears to be an awful lot of secret intra-governmental horse-trading and blunt threats going on behind the scenes. https://twitter.com/snarwani/status/1780199469172113877 The United States expects that Israel’s military response to Iran’s strikes will be limited in scope, a senior administrat...

Last time I had a mug of Oxo, made from my only remaining oxo cube, was on a November survival/escape and evasion exercise, prior to being chased around the Yorkshire Dales all night.
That was a pain in the backside too.
Best wishes for a good outcome!

The same problems exist with dams, especially earthen dams, worldwide. I met a just-retired US dams inspector a few years ago, and the summary of a long chat was "Don't go near any dams". Choose at least one or more of any of the following (likelihood): Dam was not designed properly (rare) Dam is ol...

Not tonight, Josephine....


..but wait!

...Nope.

I guess we'll find out in the morning.
Doubtless the Israelis will be looking for concrete offers not to attack, and I doubt the western powers will be doing much more than talking.
Perhaps tomorrow.

Jaguar is quietly retiring it's I-Pace, very soon.. ..of course that's completely unconnected to the unexplained full throttle accidents. It's nothing new. I recall one of my Tornado RB199s, the ones with the first electronic throttles, deciding to completely ignore my throttle movements, back in 19...

Tax goes up, rebate goes down.

I must phone my mate Benny Gantz and slip a new target onto their list.

Nothing I can find anywhere would indicate an Israeli attack is currently in progress...but that's rather the point of stealth fighters

Times of Israel Report: War cabinet decides to hit Iran back hard, hopes it won’t spark regional war https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-april-15-2024/ Israeli Channel 12 reporting that "the IAF has completed its preparations for an imminent response" Sources unknown. n.b. Royal Jordanian is stil...

Five minutes ago IDF Chief of Staff Herzl Halevi said that missile fire from Iran would be met with a response. Speaking at the Nevatim military base, which was hit by five missiles during the Iranian attack, he said, "When we look ahead, we consider our steps. The launch of so many cruise missiles ...

Flightradar latest: Only Arab airlines flying over Jordan, Iraq, or Iran. Only flights to Damascus or Beirut, and only by Arab airlines, flying over Syria and/or Lebanon. Only Israeli airlines flying into or over Israel. General drift of comments from and about Israel seems to suggest there will be ...

Syrskyi on the current situation on the ground https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/04/13/7451087/ The former Commander of the Ukrainian Southern Front (i.e. Kherson) has just been posted to head the training school. I would guess this is to shake up training command in line with Syrskyi's statem...

Would a single nuke be the end for putin? Half the Russian population would probably give him a standing ovation. Who would risk launching a response, given Russia has an awful lot of nukes left? Where would they aim at? putin won't be guaranteed to be under the Kremlin when the nuke is launched at ...