Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#8061 Post by probes »

As Russia continues its massive missile and drone attack against Ukrainian cities, Ukraine's drones struck a Russian oil depot in Engels, Saratov Oblast.
https://x.com/EuromaidanPress/status/19 ... l-venemaal

Also,
Drones targeted a critical Russian defense facility striking the “Progress” plant in Michurinsk, Tambov region—a major supplier of missile and aviation system components to Russia’s military-industrial complex, head of Ukraine’s Center for Countering Disinformation, Andrii Kovalenko, reported on June 6.

The strike reportedly triggered a fire and injured at least three people. The attack occurred around 2:15 a.m. local time and was likely carried out by a single-strike drone, according to preliminary information.
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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#8062 Post by probes »

Snippets:
ruz was unable to shut down (or swith off?) mobile connection in the drone attack locations. If it had, the drones would have continued as per programs, but the fact that ruz didn't or couldn't - well, UKR used their own mobile network.
putin was warned to be expecting more surprises - well, who knows how many drones are already there... on ruz territory, somewhere, that is.
Possible escalation on frontlines? what escalation? ruz is and has been trying hard all the time anyway.
Peace talks? What talks? putin was trying to bid his time until Biden's mil aid runs out - and hopefully Trump will not give anything.
The Iskanders - one destroyed, two damaged nearby - in Bryansk oblast is a good catch. Missiles and all. Six of these fewer on civilians. Based on UKR efficient air intel, as these missile launchers are moving fast and shoot long range. Possibly more missiles turned into fireworks in Bryansk tonight.
https://t.me/yigal_levin/83888?fbclid=I ... FbHIbO9ocA

The commander of the 'Magyar Birds' has been promoted to the main chief of UAV-forces, hopefully his vision (knowledge and innovation spread between units as fast as possible, spare parts ditto etc).
Actual birds have innovated, too - nests being built of the drone cables everywhere.
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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#8063 Post by probes »

Vladimir, your FLEET is FLEECED both in the air and on the sea.
Following the destruction of several strategic bombers in recent Ukrainian strikes, russian propagandists have begun floating an unlikely backup plan: converting the Tu-214 passenger jet into a "mobilization missile carrier" capable of launching the Kh-101 and Kh-22 cruise missiles. The proposal aims to compensate for heavy losses among russia's strategic aviation fleet, including the Tu-22M3, Tu-95MS, and Tu-160 units.
At first glance, the idea might appear feasible, after all, the Tu-214 aircraft is built at the same Kazan Aviation Plant responsible for the Tu-22M3 and Tu-160 units. The plant would likely welcome any expansion of its production mandate, especially amid increasing pressure on russia's defense industry. However, a closer look at the facts reveals why this proposal is more likely to remain a theoretical exercise than a practical solution.
Meanwhile, ruz sends swarms of drones to UKR cities. 407 drones and 45 missiles of various types last night.



ruz losses 07.06.2025
Tanks — 10904 (+15)
Armored fighting vehicles — 22737 (+52)
Artillery systems — 28850 (+56)
MLRS — 1410 (+4)
Anti-aircraft warfare — 1181 (+1)
Helicopters — 337 (+1)
UAV — 39493 (+300)
Cruise missiles — 3308 (+37)
Cars and cisterns — 51079 (+166)
Special equipment — 3908 (+1)
Military personnel — aprx. 995030 people (+1120)
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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#8064 Post by probes »

Vladimir, time to go BALLISTIC!
UKR announced that their own ballistic missile has been tested and used (mid-May). If so, it's really bad news for ruz airfields and wings.
In public, President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia says his country’s growing friendship with China is unshakable — a strategic military and economic collaboration that has entered a golden era.
But in the corridors of Lubyanka, the headquarters of Russia’s domestic security agency, known as the F.S.B., a secretive intelligence unit refers to the Chinese as “the enemy.”
This unit, which has not previously been disclosed, has warned that China is a serious threat to Russian security. Its officers say that Beijing is increasingly trying to recruit Russian spies and get its hands on sensitive military technology, at times by luring disaffected Russian scientists.
As per analysts, both of them have been and will be spying on eachother regardless of their friendship without limits, it's just part of the game.

Denys has good news. As for the SU35 shot down in the Kursk oblast, some analysts think it was thanks to the A50s hit (even if these were the 'spares' to the real ones - unless ruz removed some bits from the ones in the sat images, to make us believe the A50 weren't operational).



More spiders in the Web... hidden in a grain train! - or maybe it was armoured stuff? :)



ruz losses 08.06.2025
Tanks — 10911 (+7)
Armored fighting vehicle — 22748 (+11)
Artillery systems — 28892 (+42)
Anti-aircraft warfare — 1183 (+2)
Planes — 414 (+1)
UAV — 39651 (+158)
Cruise missiles — 3315 (+7)
Cars and cisterns — 51225 (+146)
Special equipment — 3911 (+3)
Military personnel — aprx. 996150 people (+1120)

And several plants (Azot chemical stuff) etc hit.

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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#8065 Post by John Hill »

I look forward to reliable information regarding the reported "drones on trains".
Been in data comm since we formed the bits individually with a Morse key.
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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#8066 Post by probes »

Vladimir, it's not looking... shall we say, not actually GOOD? :D

I hope you see the 'opening screen' to Jake's video, the "Whoever tells me we lost another plane will be shot." by putin.
It is reported that ruz hasn't used as many bombers as it used to (even up to 16 for a 'regular raid'), these days it's just up to 6.
In Jake's video the plants on fire mentioned, too. Several of them.
Some cutting-edge warfare (literally), about 25:30. Spoiler alert: scissors.



Gen Ben Hodges discusses the expected ruz 'escalation', too.
Reportedly putin has his cards on Trump stopping US aid to UKR.

Kinda-METAR, sorry ( :D ) for UKR: heavy rains have made the ground somewhat tricky for motobikes (but you saw the NO of losses when some more armoured stuff was used a couple of days back), and as it's going to be 30+ (even up to 34C), thunder is forecast = difficult for drones and spy drones.

Kanal13 has several interesting ones again.

John Hill wrote:
Sun Jun 08, 2025 10:20 am
I look forward to reliable information regarding the reported "drones on trains".
No tech details, though.
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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#8067 Post by probes »

And they did it again! :-w

The Armed Forces of Ukraine destroyed two Russian warplanes in an overnight strike on a military airfield in Russia’s Nizhny Novgorod region – roughly 650 kilometers (400 miles) from the Ukrainian border – Ukrainian military officials said Monday, June 9.

The Savasleika airfield, the target of the attack, hosts MiG-31K fighter jets used to carry Kinzhal hypersonic missiles. According to Ukraine’s General Staff, the other aircraft destroyed besides the MiG-31 was either a Su-30 or Su-34; the full extent of the damage caused is still being assessed.
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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#8068 Post by probes »

Actually, there's considerable info-mess about the trains & drones and the railway bridge that was supposedly blown up by UKR (as putin told Trump).
Which is not bad, as UKR could do that, but it's not clear if they did. Probably not. The bridge reportedly collapsed when an unaothorised truck drove accross it, and the passenger train either wasn't warned by chance or deliberately (to get something to report to Trump).
Well, it's anyone's guess.

Now, that's with video-proof:
A Ukrainian drone hit the VNIIR-Progress enterprise in Cheboksary.
The enterprise is engaged in the production of various navigation and electronic equipment, including for Iskander ballistic missiles, cruise missiles and drones.
https://t.me/yigal_levin/84040?fbclid=I ... CIHZUEunog

High-quality satellite images of the Kronstadt JSC plant hit on May 28.
More than 8 hits were recorded.
Kronstadt JSC is one of the key Russian developers and manufacturers of strike drones, including the Inokhodets complex (also known as Orion), which is actively used in the war against Ukraine, as well as the S8000 Banderol missile.
https://t.me/exilenova_plus/8764?single

Cossacks in the Zaporizhzhia direction skillfully destroyed several enemy Buk with the help of Switchblade 600 kamikaze drones, also with the subsequent detonation of the Buk
https://t.me/soniah_hub/10870?fbclid=Iw ... 8PZlCIgsDw
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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#8069 Post by Boac »

We in the 'West' certainly owe Ukraine a huge 'than you' for inflicting such damage on the Russian heavy bomber fleet. The notable reduction in their use recently in launching cruise missiles is telling. This means that the threat of a Russian attack on a western country and the risk to our maritime forces is much diminished in terms of a bomber attack but presumably Russia would be forced to use other means now, including nuclear and ballistic weapons.

The sudden realisation that Russia IS a threat is fast gathering pace, and the forthcoming NATO summit will be of vital importance. Too long have we sheltered under the big 'peace umbrella' and the huge wake-up call of the invasion of Ukraine has at last galvanised us into long overdue action. I hope the US recognises that they cannot comfortably hide under the blanket of isolationalism.
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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#8070 Post by probes »

Vladimir has decided not to declare any 'retaliation', as it would remind us what it's for :D .

BOAC, spot on again.
As for the nukes, there's supposed to be some procedure to get these ready to launch (or wossit called) and the guys who had the misfortune of serving in the soviet forces have told they really doubt anything stored for considerable time is ready to deploy, the regular work ethics is unlikely to have changed.
Dunno.
But what else is there to do? (than destroy as much as possible of their 'military might'). Empires have to expand, meaning as long as the pravitel thinks he's got an empire...
A typical night (sans the regular No of missiles - higher mostly, the bomber fleet must be hurt):
... the day before yesterday, 479 Shaheds (incl decoys), 20 various types of missiles: four Kinzhal, ten X-101 (strategic bombers, probably up to five), three X-22 (probably Tu-22M3 above the Black Sea), two radar-seeking X-31P, one X-35. Business as usual.

Denys daily:



ruz losses 10.06.2025
Tanks — 10919 (+4)
Armored fighting vehicles — 22768 (+9)
Artillery systems — 28982 (+48)
MLRS — 1412 (+1)
Planes — 416 (+2)
UAV — 40057 (+239)
Cruise missiles — 3330 (+15)
Cars and cisterns — 51455 (+107)
Special equipment — 3912 (+1)
Military personnel — aprx. 998080 people (+960)

Once again, the internet is the tool of the Satan:
"Russia proposes to cut off the internet at night for couples without children to increase the birth rate.
MP Mikhail Ivanov believes that dependence on social networks prevents young people from starting families and threatens demographics" - Ateo Breaking
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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#8071 Post by tango15 »

A very succinct summary, Boac, and one with which I (and obviously probes) totally agree. Putin is the most dangerous man on the planet at the moment. We (the politicians) in the West are sleep-walking into a very dangerous situation here. I'm no student of history, but I see significant parallels with World War II.
Had Putin's SMO succeeded, once he had installed a puppet government in Kyiv, he would have headed for Poland and the Baltic States, with help from Ukraine and Belarus, and NATO able only to hold meetings and indulge in anguished hand-wringing, as Putin fulfilled his aim of re-establishing the Soviet empire.

There was mention upthread somewhere about Russian paranoia, which reminded me of this little episode some years ago:

Being of Greek origin (no offence intended if you're reading this, RiS :) ) the word paranoia translates easily into Russian - паранойя - as well it might. In all my travels around the world, I have never come across a nation whose people exhibit such collective paranoia. One day, whilst sitting in the agent's office, which was in a quiet area of Moscow, there was a loud bang in an office nearby. To me, it sounded like a door slamming. It was a warm spring day, windows were open, and it was breezy, so I concluded that the wind had blown a door closed somewhere. Not so the other members of staff, most of whom stopped what they were doing and went to the windows, believing that a shot had been fired. The fact that there was nothing to be seen only fuelled their paranoia further. Two of them went out into the corridor, (not something I would have done if I thought a weapon had just been discharged). They all eventually returned to their desks, with one of them saying, "Anyway, the police will be here soon." I suggested, in English, that it was simply a door banging, but was promptly ridiculed. Of course, the police never arrived, and nothing more was said. For me, it was a salutary lesson. Here was I working amongst intelligent people, many with university degrees and one with a PhD, yet here they were behaving like schoolkids. Reflecting on the incident later that evening, I realised that if you are a government that knows that its citizens suffer from collective paranoia, it is perhaps better if they are not always told the truth. Equally, if you are a citizen who knows that everything you say and do could be recorded, and, if necessary, used against you, paranoia becomes a way of life.
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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#8072 Post by Pinky the pilot »

Putin is the most dangerous man on the planet at the moment. We (the politicians) in the West are sleep-walking into a very dangerous situation here. I'm no student of history, but I see significant parallels with World War II.
Had Putin's SMO succeeded, once he had installed a puppet government in Kyiv, he would have headed for Poland and the Baltic States, with help from Ukraine and Belarus, and NATO able only to hold meetings and indulge in anguished hand-wringing, as Putin fulfilled his aim of re-establishing the Soviet empire.
Exactly, Tango15. I think you have stated the obvious most succinctly!

What I just cannot understand is that the rest of Europe seemingly cannot grasp this! ~X(

Or is it maybe they don't want to? Appeasement didn't work in '38/39. What on Earth makes anyone think it would now? ^!

Wasn't it Tacitus who said, "Let he who desires Peace prepare for War." :-?
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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#8073 Post by Boac »

One take-away from Rutte's talk yesterday in London was that despite the 'west' having 25 times the military industrial manufacturing capacity, Russia is producing armaments at 4 times our rate, and is not only keeping pace with demand but is actually slowing re-stocking.
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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#8074 Post by Boac »

Appeasement didn't work in '38/39
The only one 'appeasing' is the Chump who is actually encouraging the war crimes. The rest are just pussy-footing about and doing very little.
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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#8075 Post by probes »

Boac wrote:
Tue Jun 10, 2025 3:29 pm
The only one 'appeasing' is the Chump who is actually encouraging the war crimes. The rest are just pussy-footing about and doing very little.
Sadly so.
tango15 wrote:
Tue Jun 10, 2025 9:31 am
A very succinct summary, Boac, and one with which I (and obviously probes) totally agree. Putin is the most dangerous man on the planet at the moment.
He wouldn't be if he didn't have fellow dictators. Or wannabes. Sadly.
Boac wrote:
Tue Jun 10, 2025 2:51 pm
... Russia is producing armaments at 4 times our rate, and is not only keeping pace with demand but is actually slowing re-stocking.
what kind of stuff, then? Did he specify?
They did have an advantage with the drones on cables, and UKR didn't think much of the motobikes, which have proved to be more effective than expected; producing Shaheds seems to be in full swing, but then what?

P.S that's the locomotive now. Mostly Kanal13 does not have b******, so it probably happened like that:


there are more interesting ones as well.



And for the engineering minds around here:

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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#8076 Post by Boac »

Ammunition, I assume.
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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#8077 Post by probes »

:(
but,
A major Russian gunpowder factory in the city of Kotovsk, Tambov region, was struck by drones overnight, triggering explosions and a fire on-site, according to Andrii Kovalenko, head of Ukraine’s Center for Countering Disinformation on June 11.
The attack targeted the Tambov Gunpowder Plant—one of Russia’s largest producers of smokeless powder and other explosives critical to the Russian war effort in Ukraine. The facility is part of the state-owned defense conglomerate Rostec and produces over 200 types of military-grade materials, including propellants for firearms, grenades, artillery shells, and mortar rounds.
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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#8078 Post by probes »

Vladimir, NOT TO WORRY about Trump! - Merz, on the other hand...

ruz airplanes, though...


Denys and Kanal13 have interesting ones, too.
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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#8079 Post by probes »

Vladimir, it HURTS.
Maybe not enough, but the recent bombing raids have had max 5 bombers.
Even worse, the Renault was impudent enough to descide start producing drones in UKR... as their AD is real good for mil airfields and factories.

Meaning, (mostly) Harkiv got the regular share of Shaheds.
As ruz has improved and updated their tactics and systems as well, UKR AD has fallen from 97% to about 80% by May.
So it's a fragile balance between the EW and AD or ED.
Weapon research specialists of the Defense Intelligence of Ukraine have studied the new russian loitering munition that remained a mystery for a while. Their findings, along with a detailed list of components, were published on the agency's website War & Sanctions which helps lawmakers and manufacturers cut off the flow of military parts to russia.
With its name now known, the V2U is a smart suicide attack unmanned aerial vehicle with artificial intelligence. Its episodic use was recorded since February 2025, and especially increased since May. As its deployment scaled up, this kamikaze drone became arguably more dangerous than the mass-produced and established Lancet UAV. Defense Express
ruz has plans to produce Shaheds in n-korea. Well, to help the Fat-Un produce them. Obviously UKR drones on mil facilities in ruz have hurt.

ruz losses 12.06.2025
Tanks — 10933 (+6)
Armored fighting vehicles — 22786 (+3)
Artillery systems — 29063 (+47)
Anti-aircraft warfare — 1184 (+1)
UAV — 40435 (+138)
Cars and cisterns — 51715 (+136)
Military personnel — aprx. 1000340 people (+1140)

Frontlines?
Dunno. On one hand, ruz is advancing slowly and quite steadily in some directions, losing ground in others. ruz bloggers, though, are not happy at all about their mil facilities being hit each night, with only some incidents repoted in media.
Denys usually doesn't make it too rosy, so really - dunno.



Jake being interviewed, a somewhat wider scope.
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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#8080 Post by probes »

The total mess just got messier.

Jake didn't know Israel was going to surprise Iran right after he had finished his video. Will Iran need help from the fellow dictators?
Several interesting items.



ruz losses 13.06.2025
Tanks — 10934 (+1)
Armored fighting vehicles — 22791 (+5)
Artillery systems — 29105 (+42)
MLRS — 1416 (+3)
UAV — 40507 (+72)
Cars and cisterns — 51821 (+106)
Military personnel — aprx. 1001560 people (+1220)

Iran lost several of its senior officers and at least one nuke-scientist.
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