https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/wi ... -november/
="few of the other raving lefties like me I exclusively talk to". Everyone on the Right thought it was a racing certainty.It’s likely Cheney as well as the nine other Republicans who voted to impeach Trump knew their vote was a potentially risky move for their political careers. But in January 2021, few would have predicted that only two would survive their primaries.
Which is, I imagine, why the Dems are absolutely desperate to get Trump disqualified for 2024, and I don't think the Jan 6th Committee is going to have any more success that the previous two impeachments.In fact, not a single pro-impeachment Republican captured a majority of the GOP primary vote. This amounts to an especially weak set of performances for incumbents, who in most cases easily win their primaries.